United Kingdom

[United Kingdom General Election]2021 June Globe Elections UN Projection / Prediction / Forecast

JUNE ’21 PROJECTION

_Globe Elections UN Video

_HEADLINE

According to Globe Elections UN’s June Projection in the United Kingdom(UK), we are projecting that the Conservatives will retain majority in the next parliament with a big majority of 70 seats. Also, the potential Conservative Alliance(CON+DUP+UUP) is ahead at this stage with 368 seats, being ahead of potential Progressive Alliance(LAB+SNP+LD+PC+SDLP+GRN+AP)‘s 274 by 94.

_POLL+ERROR PROJECTION

-Seat Projection

Conservative Party(CON / Center-Right) : 360 Seats

(+18 From May ’21, -8 From Last Election)

Labour Party(LAB / Center-Left) : 205 Seats

(-21 From May ’21, +2 From Last Election)

Scottish National Party(SNP / Center-Left) : 54 Seats

(+1 From May ’21, +6 From Last Election)

Democratic Unionist Party(DUP / Right-wing) : 8 Seats

(+2 From May ’21, +0 From Last Election)

Liberal Democrats(LD / Lean-Left) : 7 Seats

(-1 From May ’21, -4 From Last Election)

Sinn Féin / We Ourselves(SF / Left-wing) : 7 Seats

(+0 From May ’21, +0 From Last Election)

Plaid Cymru / Party of Wales(PC / Left-wing) : 4 Seats

(-1 From May ’21, +0 From Last Election)

Social Democratic Labour Party(SDLP / Center-Left) : 2 Seats

(+0 From May ’21, +0 From Last Election)

Green Party(GRN / Left-wing) : 1 Seat

(+0 From May ’21, +0 From Last Election)

Alliance Party(AP / Center) : 1 Seat

(-1 From May ’21, +0 From Last Election)

Ulster Unionist Party(UUP / Center-Right) : 0 Seat

(-1 From May ’21, +0 From Last Election)

Reform UK(RUK / Big Tent) : 0 Seat

(+0 From May ’21, +0 From Last Election)

UK Independence Party(UKIP / Far-Right) : 0 Seat

(+0 From May ’21, +0 From Last Election)

Others(OTH / Mixed) : 0 Seat

(+0 From May ’21, +0 From Last Election)

-Vote Share Projection

Conservative Party(CON / Center-Right) : 42.93%

(+0.77pp From May ’21, -0.70pp From Last Election)

Labour Party(LAB / Center-Left) : 32.37%

(-2.78pp From May ’21, +0.21pp From Last Election)

Liberal Democrats(LD / Lean-Left) : 7.47%

(+0.61pp From May ’21, -4.36pp From Last Election)

Green Party(GRN / Left-wing) : 5.71%

(+0.49pp From May ’21, +3.03pp From Last Election)

Scottish National Party(SNP / Center-Left) : 4.36%

(+0.14pp From May ’21, +0.48pp From Last Election)

Reform UK(RUK / Big Tent) : 1.33%

(-0.02pp From Apr ’21, -0.68pp From Last Election)

Plaid Cymru / Party of Wales(PC / Left-wing) : 0.72%

(-0.19pp From May ’21, +0.24pp From Last Election)

UK Independence Party(UKIP / Far-Right) : 0.30%

(-0.10pp From May ’21, +0.24pp From Last Election)

Others(OTH / Mixed) : 4.81%

(+1.08pp From May ’21, +1.19pp From Last Election)

_POLL BASE PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection

Conservative Party(CON / Center-Right) : 43.23%

Labour Party(LAB / Center-Left) : 32.78%

Liberal Democrats(LD / Lean-Left) : 8.30%

Green Party(GRN / Left-wing) : 5.78%

Scottish National Party(SNP / Center-Left) : 4.41%

Reform UK(RUK / Big Tent) : 2.04%

Plaid Cymru / Party of Wales(PC / Left-wing) : 0.73%

UK Independence Party(UKIP / Far-Right) : 0.30%

Others(OTH / Mixed) : 2.43%

_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

_Globe Elections Projection / Prediction / Forecast Dashboard

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