United Kingdom

[United Kingdom Scotland General Election]2021 FINAL Globe Elections UN Projection/Prediction/Forecast

_HEADINE

According to Globe Elections UN’s FINAL Projection in the United Kingdom(UK) Scotland, we are projecting that the Scottish Nationals could possibly gain majority in the next parliament with a majority of 1 seat at the most likeliest outcome. Also, the potential Pro-Independence Alliance(SNP+GRN+ALBA) will have a absolute majority with 76 seats, after being ahead of potential Anti-Independence Alliance(CON+LAB+LD+AFU+RUK+UKIP)‘s 53 by 23 seats.

_POLL BASE PROJECTION

-Seat Projection

Scottish National Party(SNP / Center-Left) : 65 Seats

(+2 From Last Election)

Conservative Party(CON / Center-Right) : 28 Seats

(-3 From Last Election)

Labour Party(LAB / Center-Left) : 20 Seats

(-4 From Last Election)

Green Party(GRN / Left-wing) : 11 Seats

(+5 From Last Election)

Liberal Democrats(LD / Lean-Left) : 5 Seats

(+0 From Last Election)

Scotland Party(ALBA / Big Tent) : 0 Seat

(NEW PARTY)

All For Unity(AFU / Big Tent) : 0 Seat

(NEW PARTY)

Reform UK(RUK / Big Tent) : 0 Seat

(NEW PARTY)

UK Independence Party(UKIP / Far-Right) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Last Election)

Others(OTH / Mixed) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Last Election)

-Proportional(=Regional) Vote Share Projection

Scottish National Party(SNP / Center-Left) : 37.81%

(-3.91pp From Last Election)

Conservative Party(CON / Center-Right) : 22.32%

(-0.61pp From Last Election)

Labour Party(LAB / Center-Left) : 17.61%

(-1.46pp From Last Election)

Green Party(GRN / Left-wing) : 10.01%

(+3.43pp From Last Election)

Liberal Democrats(LD / Lean-Left) : 5.92%

(+0.70pp From Last Election)

Scotland Party(ALBA / Big Tent) : 3.10%

(NEW PARTY)

All For Unity(AFU / Big Tent) : 0.81%

(NEW PARTY)

Reform UK(RUK / Big Tent) : 0.30%

(NEW PARTY)

UK Independence Party(UKIP / Far-Right) : 0.08%

(-1.95pp From Last Election)

Others(OTH / Mixed) : 2.04%

(-0.41pp From Last Election)

-Constituency Vote Share Projection

Scottish National Party(SNP / Center-Left) : 48.75%

(+2.25pp From Last Election)

Conservative Party(CON / Center-Right) : 21.27%

(-0.75pp From Last Election)

Labour Party(LAB / Center-Left) : 20.77%

(-1.79pp From Last Election)

Liberal Democrats(LD / Lean-Left) : 6.92%

(-0.90pp From Last Election)

Green Party(GRN / Left-wing) : 1.22%

(+0.64pp From Last Election)

Others(OTH / Mixed) : 1.07%

(+0.55pp From Last Election)

_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1_xLi0yWCmSEB_kgaQ-7GG3e_xgMWG4dcGyibx9qaL8Y/

_Globe Elections UN Video

_Globe Elections Projection/Prediction/Forecast Dashboard

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1kr8ZSdkUo0b5gQzPURfHQ0cLqcZpVmSWcnDUOK14mOY/

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