United Kingdom

[United Kingdom General Election]2021 April Globe Elections UN Projection/Prediction/Forecast

_HEADLINE

According to Globe Elections UN’s April Projection in the United Kingdom(UK), we are projecting that the Conservatives are very likely to be retaining majority in the next parliament with a majority of 34 seats. Also, the potential Conservative Alliance(CON+DUP+UUP) is ahead at this stage with 349 seats, being ahead of potential Progressive Alliance(LAB+SNP+LD+PC+AP+SDLP+GRN)‘s 294 by 55.

_POLL+ERROR PROJECTION

-Seat Projection

Conservative Party(CON / Center-Right) : 342 Seats

(+5 From Mar ’21, -23 From Last Election)

Labour Party(LAB / Center-Left) : 222 Seats

(-6 From Mar ’21, +19 From Last Election)

Scottish National Party(SNP / Center-Left) : 54 Seats

(+2 From Mar ’21, +6 From Last Election)

Liberal Democrats(LD / Lean-Left) : 7 Seats

(-1 From Mar ’21, -4 From Last Election)

Sinn Féin / We Ourselves(SF / Left-wing) : 7 Seats

(+0 From Mar ’21, +0 From Last Election)

Plaid Cymru / Party of Wales(PC / Center-Left) : 6 Seats

(+1 From Mar ’21, +2 From Last Election)

Democratic Unionist Party(DUP / Right-wing) : 6 Seats

(+0 From Mar ’21, -2 From Last Election)

Alliance Party(AP / Center) : 2 Seats

(+0 From Mar ’21, +1 From Last Election)

Social Democratic Labour Party(SDLP / Center-Left) : 2 Seats

(+0 From Mar ’21, +0 From Last Election)

Green Party(GRN / Left-wing) : 1 Seat

(+0 From Mar ’21, +0 From Last Election)

Ulster Unionist Party(UUP / Center-Right) : 1 Seat

(+0 From Mar ’21, +1 From Last Election)

Reform UK(RUK / Big Tent) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Mar ’21, +0 From Last Election)

UK Independence Party(UKIP / Far-Right) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Mar ’21, +0 From Last Election)

Others(OTH / Mixed) : 0 Seat

(+0 From Mar ’21, +0 From Last Election)

-Vote Share Projection

Conservative Party(CON / Center-Right) : 42.07%

(+1.00pp From Mar ’21, -1.56pp From Last Election)

Labour Party(LAB / Center-Left) : 34.73%

(-0.93pp From Mar ’21, +2.57pp From Last Election)

Liberal Democrats(LD / Lean-Left) : 6.59%

(+0.22pp From Mar ’21, -5.24pp From Last Election)

Green Party(GRN / Left-wing) : 5.00%

(+0.44pp From Mar ’21, +2.32pp From Last Election)

Scottish National Party(SNP / Center-Left) : 4.44%

(+0.47pp From Mar ’21, +0.56pp From Last Election)

Plaid Cymru / Party of Wales(PC / Center-Left) : 1.73%

(+0.13pp From Mar ’21, +1.25pp From Last Election)

Reform UK(RUK / Big Tent) : 1.41%

(-0.05pp From Mar ’21, -0.60pp From Last Election)

UK Independence Party(UKIP / Far-Right) : 1.13%

(+0.40pp From Mar ’21, +1.07pp From Last Election)

Others(OTH / Mixed) : 2.90%

(-1.68pp From Mar ’21, -0.72pp From Last Election)

_POLL BASE PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection

Conservative Party(CON / Center-Right) : 42.45%

Labour Party(LAB / Center-Left) : 35.24%

Liberal Democrats(LD / Lean-Left) : 7.33%

Green Party(GRN / Left-wing) : 5.08%

Scottish National Party(SNP / Center-Left) : 4.51%

Reform UK(RUK / Big Tent) : 2.16%

UK Independence Party(UKIP / Far-Right) : 1.15%

Plaid Cymru / Party of Wales(PC / Center-Left) : 0.76%

Others(OTH / Mixed) : 1.32%

_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1FX-r1wsPrevLkXCJ7BMibNCMTgie9ZFPtPjqMmAZuvQ/

_Globe Elections UN Video

_Globe Elections Projection/Prediction/Forecast Dashboard

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1kr8ZSdkUo0b5gQzPURfHQ0cLqcZpVmSWcnDUOK14mOY/

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