Israel

[Israel General Election]2021 FINAL Globe Elections UN Projection/Prediction/Forecast

_HEADLINE

According to Globe Elections UN’s FINAL Projection in Israel, Opposition Coalition will be ahead of Pro-Netanyahu Coalition. This means that the current prime minister Benjamin Netanyahu may be ousted after 12 years of ruling. However, there would be still a long road to a new PM due to the fact that Opposition Coalition now does not have a majority and the opposition parties did not decide to support a unified candidate.

_POLL+ERROR PROJECTION

-Seat Projection By Coalition

Opposition Coalition(OC / Big Tent) : 59 Seats

(-10 From Mar ’21, +24 From Last Election)

Pro-Netanyahu Coalition(PNC / Right-wing Big Tent) : 52 Seats

(+6 From Mar ’21, +0 From Last Election)

Neutral(NEU / Mixed) : 9 Seats

(+4 From Jan ’21, -24 From Last Election)

-Seat Projection By Party

Likud / Consolidation(LIK / Right-wing, Pro-Netanyahu) : 32 Seats

(+2 From Mar ’21, -4 From Last Election)

Yesh Atid / There Is A Future(YA / Center, Opposition) : 19 Seats

(+0 From Mar ’21, NEW PARTY)

Joint List(JL / Left-wing Big Tent, Opposition) : 9 Seats

(-2 From Mar ’21, -6 From Last Election)

Shas(SHAS / Big Tent, Pro-Netanyahu) : 9 Seats

(+0 From Mar ’21, +0 From Last Election)

New Hope(NH / Center-Right, Opposition) : 9 Seats

(-5 From Mar ’21, NEW PARTY)

Yisrael Beiteinu / Israel Our Home(YB / Lean-Right, Opposition) : 9 Seats

(+2 From Mar ’21, +3 From Last Election)

Yamina / Right(YAM / Far-Right, Opposition) : 8 Seats

(-3 From Mar ’21, +2 From Last Election)

United Torah Judaism(UTJ / Right-wing, Pro-Netanyahu) : 7 Seats

(+0 From Mar ’21, +0 From Last Election)

Blue & White(B&W / Center, Neutral) : 5 Seats

(+0 From Mar ’21, -28 From Last Election)

Labor(LAB / Center-Left, Opposition) : 5 Seats

(-2 From Mar ’21, -2 From Last Election)

Ra’am / United Arab List(RA’AM / Big Tent, Neutral) : 4 Seats

(+4 From Mar ’21, NEW PARTY)

Religious Zionist Party(RZP / Far-Right, Pro-Netanyahu) : 4 Seats

(+4 From Mar ’21, +4 From Last Election)

Meretz / Vigour(MER / Left-wing, Opposition) : 0 Seats

(+0 From Mar ’21, NEW PARTY)

New Economic Party(NEP / Center-Left, Opposition) : 0 Seats

(+0 From Mar ’21, NEW PARTY)

Others(OTH / Mixed, Neutral) : 0 Seats

(+0 From Mar ’21, +0 From Last Election)

-Vote Share Projection By Coalition

Opposition Coalition(OC / Big Tent) : 50.75%

(-5.99pp From Mar ’21, +21.27pp From Last Election)

Pro-Netanyahu Coalition(PNC / Right-wing Big Tent) : 41.44%

(+3.95pp From Mar ’21, -2.11pp From Last Election)

Neutral(NEU / Mixed) : 7.81%

(+2.04pp From Mar ’21, -19.16pp From Last Election)

-Vote Share Projection By Party

Likud / Consolidation(LIK / Right-wing, Pro-Netanyahu) : 25.49%

(+2.39pp From Mar ’21, -3.97pp From Last Election)

Yesh Atid / There Is A Future(YA / Center, Opposition) : 14.73%

(+0.16pp From Mar ’21, NEW PARTY)

Joint List(JL / Left-wing Big Tent, Opposition) : 7.44%

(-0.76pp From Mar ’21, -5.27pp From Last Election)

Shas(SHAS / Big Tent, Pro-Netanyahu) : 7.02%

(+0.57pp From Mar ’21, -0.67pp From Last Election)

New Hope(NH / Center-Right, Opposition) : 6.97%

(-3.86pp From Mar ’21, NEW PARTY)

Yisrael Beiteinu / Israel Our Home(YB / Lean-Right, Opposition) : 6.75%

(+1.12pp From Mar ’21, +1.15pp From Last Election)

Yamina / Right(YAM / Far-Right, Opposition) : 6.68%

(-1.41pp From Mar ’21, +1.44pp From Last Election)

United Torah Judaism(UTJ / Right-wing, Pro-Netanyahu) : 5.56%

(-0.04pp From Mar ’21, -0.42pp From Last Election)

Blue & White(B&W / Center, Blue & White) : 4.31%

(+0.85pp From Mar ’21, -22.28pp From Last Election)

Labor(LAB / Center-Left, Opposition) : 4.15%

(-0.82pp From Mar ’21, -1.73pp From Last Election)

Ra’am / United Arab List(RA’AM / Big Tent, Neutral) : 3.45%

(+1.48pp From Mar ’21, NEW PARTY)

Religious Zionist Party(RZP / Far-Right, Pro-Netanyahu) : 3.37%

(+1.02pp From Mar ’21, +2.95pp From Last Election)

Meretz / Vigour(MER / Left-wing, Opposition) : 3.07%

(-0.06pp From Mar ’21, NEW PARTY)

New Economic Party(NEP / Center-Left, Opposition) : 0.96%

(-0.35pp From Mar ’21, NEW PARTY)

Others(OTH / Mixed, Opposition) : 0.05%

(-0.29pp From Mar ’21, -0.33pp From Last Election)

_POLL BASE PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection By Coalition

Opposition Coalition(OC / Big Tent) : 50.69%

Pro-Netanyahu Coalition(PNC / Right-wing Big Tent) : 41.95%

Neutral(NEU / Mixed) : 7.36%

-Vote Share Projection By Party

Likud / Consolidation(LIK / Right-wing, Pro-Netanyahu) : 25.31%

Yesh Atid / There Is A Future(YA / Center, Opposition) : 14.84%

Yamina / Right(YAM / Far-Right, Opposition) : 7.52%

New Hope(NH / Center-Right, Opposition) : 6.92%

Shas(SHAS / Big Tent, Pro-Netanyahu) : 6.87%

Yisrael Beiteinu / Israel Our Home(YB / Lean-Right, Opposition) : 6.60%

Joint List(JL / Left-wing Big Tent, Opposition) : 6.50%

United Torah Judaism(UTJ / Right-wing, Pro-Netanyahu) : 5.66%

Blue & White(B&W / Center, Neutral) : 4.34%

Religious Zionist Party(RZP / Far-Right, Pro-Netanyahu) : 4.11%

Labor(LAB / Center-Left, Opposition) : 3.96%

Meretz / Vigour(MER / Left-wing, Opposition) : 3.41%

Ra’am / United Arab List(RA’AM / Big Tent, Neutral) : 3.00%

New Economic Party(NEP / Center-Left, Opposition) : 0.94%

Others(OTH / Mixed, Neutral) : 0.02%

_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1hgyKMdgn9nFGC5xWalQrtNoUBxto1LUuw-KD2Y8OTD4/

_Globe Elections UN Video

_Globe Elections Projection/Prediction/Forecast Dashboard

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1kr8ZSdkUo0b5gQzPURfHQ0cLqcZpVmSWcnDUOK14mOY/

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