Israel

[Israel General Election]2021 March Globe Elections UN Projection/Prediction/Forecast

_HEADLINE

According to Globe Elections UN’s March Projection in Israel, Opposition Coalition will have the absolute majority of the next Knesset over Pro-Netanyahu Coalition. This means that the current prime minister Benjamin Netanyahu will be ousted pretty likely after 12 years of ruling. However, there would be still a long road to a new PM due to the fact that opposition parties did not decide to support a unified candidate.

_POLL+ERROR PROJECTION

-Seat Projection By Coalition

Opposition Coalition(OC / Big Tent) : 69 Seats

(-5 From Feb ’21, +34 From Last Election)

Pro-Netanyahu Coalition(PNC / Right-wing Big Tent) : 46 Seats

(+0 From Feb ’21, -6 From Last Election)

Neutral(NEU / Mixed) : 5 Seats

(+5 From Jan ’21, -28 From Last Election)

-Seat Projection By Party

Likud / Consolidation(LIK / Right-wing, Pro-Netanyahu) : 30 Seats

(-1 From Feb ’21, -6 From Last Election)

Yesh Atid / There Is A Future(YA / Center, Opposition) : 19 Seats

(+1 From Feb ’21, NEW PARTY)

New Hope(NH / Center-Right, Opposition) : 14 Seats

(+0 From Feb ’21, NEW PARTY)

Joint List(JL / Left-wing Big Tent, Opposition) : 11 Seats

(-1 From Feb ’21, -4 From Last Election)

Yamina / Right(YAM / Far-Right, Opposition) : 11 Seats

(+0 From Feb ’21, +5 From Last Election)

Shas(SHAS / Big Tent, Pro-Netanyahu) : 9 Seats

(+1 From Feb ’21, +0 From Last Election)

Yisrael Beiteinu / Israel Our Home(YB / Lean-Right, Opposition) : 7 Seats

(+0 From Feb ’21, +1 From Last Election)

United Torah Judaism(UTJ / Right-wing, Pro-Netanyahu) : 7 Seats

(+0 From Feb ’21, +0 From Last Election)

Labor(LAB / Center-Left, Opposition) : 7 Seats

(+0 From Feb ’21, +0 From Last Election)

Blue & White(B&W / Center, Neutral) : 5 Seats

(+5 From Feb ’21, -28 From Last Election)

Meretz / Vigour(MER / Left-wing, Opposition) : 0 Seats

(-5 From Feb ’21, NEW PARTY)

Religious Zionist Party(RZP / Far-Right, Pro-Netanyahu) : 0 Seats

(+0 From Feb ’21, +0 From Last Election)

Ra’am / United Arab List(RA’AM / Big Tent, Neutral) : 0 Seats

(NEW PARTY, NEW PARTY)

New Economic Party(NEP / Center-Left, Opposition) : 0 Seats

(+0 From Feb ’21, NEW PARTY)

Others(OTH / Mixed, Neutral) : 0 Seats

(+0 From Feb ’21, +0 From Last Election)

-Vote Share Projection By Coalition

Opposition Coalition(OC / Big Tent) : 56.74%

(-4.31pp From Feb ’21, +27.26pp From Last Election)

Pro-Netanyahu Coalition(PNC / Right-wing Big Tent) : 37.49%

(+1.78pp From Feb ’21, -6.06pp From Last Election)

Neutral(NEU / Mixed) : 5.77%

(-2.53pp From Feb ’21, -21.20pp From Last Election)

-Vote Share Projection By Party

Likud / Consolidation(LIK / Right-wing, Pro-Netanyahu) : 23.10%

(-0.78pp From Feb ’21, -6.36pp From Last Election)

Yesh Atid / There Is A Future(YA / Center, Opposition) : 14.57%

(+0.99pp From Feb ’21, NEW PARTY)

New Hope(NH / Center-Right, Opposition) : 10.83%

(-0.23pp From Feb ’21, NEW PARTY)

Joint List(JL / Left-wing Big Tent, Opposition) : 8.20%

(-0.97pp From Feb ’21, -4.51pp From Last Election)

Yamina / Right(YAM / Far-Right, Opposition) : 8.09%

(-0.45pp From Feb ’21, +2.85pp From Last Election)

Shas(SHAS / Big Tent, Pro-Netanyahu) : 6.45%

(+0.38pp From Feb ’21, -1.24pp From Last Election)

Yisrael Beiteinu / Israel Our Home(YB / Lean-Right, Opposition) : 5.63%

(+0.31pp From Feb ’21, +0.03pp From Last Election)

United Torah Judaism(UTJ / Right-wing, Pro-Netanyahu) : 5.60%

(-0.17pp From Feb ’21, -0.38pp From Last Election)

Labor(LAB / Center-Left, Opposition) : 4.97%

(-0.31pp From Feb ’21, -0.91pp From Last Election)

Blue & White(B&W / Center, Blue & White) : 3.46%

(+0.22pp From Feb ’21, -23.13pp From Last Election)

Meretz / Vigour(MER / Left-wing, Opposition) : 3.13%

(-0.53pp From Feb ’21, NEW PARTY)

Religious Zionist Party(RZP / Far-Right, Pro-Netanyahu) : 2.35%

(+0.52pp From Feb ’21, +1.93pp From Last Election)

Ra’am / United Arab List(RA’AM / Big Tent, Neutral) : 1.97%

(NEW PARTY, NEW PARTY)

New Economic Party(NEP / Center-Left, Opposition) : 1.31%

(-0.70pp From Feb ’21, NEW PARTY)

Others(OTH / Mixed, Opposition) : 0.34%

(-0.29pp From Jan ’21, -0.04pp From Last Election)

_POLL BASE PROJECTION

-Vote Share Projection By Coalition

Opposition Coalition(OC / Big Tent) : 56.56%

Pro-Netanyahu Coalition(PNC / Right-wing Big Tent) : 38.14%

Neutral(NEU / Mixed) : 5.30%

-Vote Share Projection By Party

Likud / Consolidation(LIK / Right-wing, Pro-Netanyahu) : 22.88%

Yesh Atid / There Is A Future(YA / Center, Opposition) : 14.64%

New Hope(NH / Center-Right, Opposition) : 10.73%

Yamina / Right(YAM / Far-Right, Opposition) : 9.08%

Joint List(JL / Left-wing Big Tent, Opposition) : 7.14%

Shas(SHAS / Big Tent, Pro-Netanyahu) : 6.29%

United Torah Judaism(UTJ / Right-wing, Pro-Netanyahu) : 5.68%

Yisrael Beiteinu / Israel Our Home(YB / Lean-Right, Opposition) : 5.50%

Labor(LAB / Center-Left, Opposition) : 4.73%

Blue & White(B&W / Center, Neutral) : 3.48%

Meretz / Vigour(MER / Left-wing, Opposition) : 3.46%

Religious Zionist Party(RZP / Far-Right, Pro-Netanyahu) : 3.28%

Ra’am / United Arab List(RA’AM / Big Tent, Neutral) : 1.71%

New Economic Party(NEP / Center-Left, Opposition) : 1.29%

Others(OTH / Mixed, Neutral) : 0.11%

_FULL DETAILS/RESULTS

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1KTnXNUOjVsPxgcM7s0DaIDtmtQrY-nDVs0G1u-zuYsM/

_Globe Elections UN Video

_Globe Elections Projection/Prediction/Forecast Dashboard

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1kr8ZSdkUo0b5gQzPURfHQ0cLqcZpVmSWcnDUOK14mOY/

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google photo

You are commenting using your Google account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s